NASCAR’s High Flyers – Long Term Tips
With the sport of NASCAR still very much in the process of establishing a global presence to rival F1, few outside the North American countries realise the levels of ardent passion with which the sport is followed.
This passion is a reflection of the uncertainty that faces each driver every weekend, with usually no more than a week to recover from the previous weekend’s exertions. Naturally, there are favourites sitting proudly atop the power rankings, but other factors such as track surface, lap length and the presence (or lack thereof) of restrictor plates can shorten the odds for a less-fancied driver – although the potential payout can still be impressive.
These are NASCAR’s top four drivers as of early August 2016. For the latest prices relating to NASCAR, and other motorsports, visit Motorsport24.com and select one of the banners.
The unpredictability of NASCAR once again rose to prominence in August’s opening race, with rank outsider Chris Buescher emerging victorious in the Pennsylvania 400, securing his place in the Chase for the Sprint Cup this autumn. Given the magnitude of such a result, many gamblers are now questioning the infallibility of the so-called ‘better’ drivers, especially in light of the subsequent price shifts.
Looking ahead – who wins when?
- Bank of America 500 (Charlotte, Oct 8)
- Can-Am 500 (Phoenix, Nov 13)
While a win may not be a certainty in NASCAR, each driver at least has a safe bet for a top five finish, based on their own personal history of results. This is certainly true for Harvick, who presently has no equal on intermediate tracks.
Harvick has reached the final round of the Chase for the last three years in succession, winning outright in 2014. Stewart-Haas’ best driver is a near certainty to reach the finale in Miami with his title hopes intact. In recent years the Can-Am 500 has, in particular, been a hugely rewarding event for Harvick, with three consecutive wins coming prior to a second place finish in last year’s corresponding event.
- AAA Texas 500 (Fort Worth, Nov 6)
From practically nowhere, Brad Keselowski has overcome the disparity between his own pace and that of Kyle Busch with a double blast of wins during the summer. His price has plummeted to 8.00 (+700) as a result of this development.
Though winless in any Fort Worth event, his recent form in the autumn editions has been excellent. Keselowski has finished in the podium places on three of the last four autumn races at Fort Worth, and while he does not boast Harvick’s long-term consistency, his astuteness when it comes to fuel economy levels the playing field.
- TMNT 400 (Jollet, Sep 18)
Though priced at around 17.00 (+1600), the reigning champion’s older brother Kurt Busch entered August above his sibling Kyle in the overall standings. The elder Busch brother also enjoyed an impressive run of consecutive top ten finishes during late spring/early summer this summer.
April 26th 2015 was the last occasion on which Busch emerged victorious on a track shorter than 2 miles, and he has failed to win on a 1.5m track since May 30th 2010, when he reached victory lane in the Coca Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. However, his recent results at Jollet have been impressive.
- Ford EcoBoost 400 (Homestead, Nov 20)
The reigning champion is priced the same as Harvick to win outright at 6.00 (+500), as his pace remains unrivalled. That noted, he has been unable to emulate the white-hot winning streak of summer 2015, implying strongly that a title defence will be far from straightforward.
Unstoppable though Busch was last season, to overcome the disappointment of a 39th place finish at Homestead in 2014 and win the most recent race (and the Sprint Cup) last November was a huge testament to his strength of character. Unfettered by such demons this time around, backing a second consecutive Busch win at Homestead represents a wise investment.